Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c878fe2be488fbaf2eb194c3416daae3d472a59db03e30078479178b6b7c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 3,242$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.1 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 26c | 900$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 743.77$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 728.49$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 721.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 693.68$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 76c | 674$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 646.08$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 33c | 315.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 303.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 75c | 226$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 197.36$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 181.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 73c | 173$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 146$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 26c | 120.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 109.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 76c | 90.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 40c | 90.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 89.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…8cb5backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 49c | 81.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 32c | 79.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 42c | 73.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 37c | 58.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed No | 73c | 56.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 79c | 54.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 48.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…a6d2backed Yes | 30c | 43.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Yes | 27c | 37.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 55c | 36.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x822c…c6c3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 36.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 78c | 36.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 68c | 35.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 68c | 35.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 68c | 35.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 35.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 68c | 35.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 58c | 31.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 74c | 29.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 27.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 78c | 25.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 24.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 79c | 23.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 23.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…a607backed Yes | 45c | 22.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…914cbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 68c | 19.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 78c | 15.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-13?No won
- Will Vejle BK win on 2026-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.