South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24fa721eeaab49b4035a399082925b7c43603bda0fac156334f5e64f2d56c1ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 70c | 1,849$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.59 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 1,577$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.02 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 21c | 1,361$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 17c | 1,204$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 11c | 1,003$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 70c | 809.73$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 30c | 753.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.03 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 697.42$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 23c | 417.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…d605backed Yes | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 20c | 407.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed No | 70c | 268.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 208.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f13…6a96backed No | 70c | 204.26$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 70c | 195$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 22c | 181.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 17c | 144.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…6081backed Yes | 25c | 122.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 117.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 78c | 115.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 108.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 105.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 100.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 95.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 84.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 78c | 83.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 82.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 65.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 18c | 56.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 23c | 55.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed No | 79c | 50.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 41.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 79c | 37.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed No | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 36.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 78c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 31.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 78c | 27.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 78c | 22.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.