South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80ad5fa2a40f2ae2bdcf4569a5247bd11eedd35d46ed30dff0ce9947fd83292f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 8,693$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.55 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 40c | 8,163$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.07 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 4,449$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.57 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 2,373$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.25 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 2,254$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.55 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 46c | 1,567$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 1,450$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.22 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 1,429$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 631.68$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 48c | 552.22$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 509.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.27 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 5c | 450.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.18 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 65c | 295$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 59c | 280.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 239.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 60c | 229.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 40c | 217.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 49c | 196.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 50c | 195.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 60c | 191.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 124.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 122.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 121.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 60c | 116.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 64c | 114.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 21c | 103.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 61c | 103.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 64c | 95.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 94.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Yes | 65c | 90.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked No | 57c | 86.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 58c | 84.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 51c | 82.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 52c | 78.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 60c | 76.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 60c | 73.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 70.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 60c | 64.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 61c | 62.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes | 35c | 61.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 44c | 60.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 62c | 58.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 47c | 55.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Yes | 64c | 52.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 36c | 50.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 60c | 50.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 63c | 49.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 34c | 48.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 61c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 42c | 43.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 72c | 41.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 38c | 40.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 33c | 35.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 46c | 35.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 64c | 28.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 59c | 26.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 59c | 26.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 60c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.