TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes43c135,113$58,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,195.7331349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes39c33,888$13,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,081.6465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No58c12,860$7,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.913333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c10,543$6,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.628,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes43c8,134$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.9830841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c5,998$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.082,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c4,551$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.681,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No56c4,062$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.3447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No56c3,888$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.9257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No56c2,173$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.2112361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c1,867$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.575,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No56c1,705$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.0328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No57c1,567$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.7736757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes40c1,545$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.2911856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No57c1,376$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.716759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No57c1,221$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.0528651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No57c1,099$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.315956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes41c1,060$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.7522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes43c866.13$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.295935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes43c817.76$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.761,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No56c801.66$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.736357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes31c528.69$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3911230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No56c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.498851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No56c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4912259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19531745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes29c427.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No59c375.32$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.118154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14084943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No57c341.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes36c339.87$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.661,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes43c336.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.877951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1847758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No59c290.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.027857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c283.27$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.761,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No59c277.5$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.610564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes38c271.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6341256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes31c266.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.41,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No77c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.924042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No49c221.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4214443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes38c190.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2119144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed No56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5916160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No64c163.18$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.39955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed No56c151.26$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.55850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No68c143.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes40c130.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.875651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes30c119.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.932245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes36c115.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.176036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No56c103.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3119955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No75c101.54$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9719356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No56c99.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.62979.3%23 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked No56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed No56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes63c77.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.513373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Yes39c74.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.142445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes38c71.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes38c71.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.033066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No74c70.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1919056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes65c69.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4529362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.35660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c63.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.633,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53f…570cbacked Yes42c60.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No63c59.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.142,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dcf…f174backed No56c59.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed No56c59.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.014938.8%19 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked No57c57.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.534763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Yes42c57.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1315457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No70c55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.958246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.523551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…6011backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b12…ada4backed Yes39c49.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No60c49.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes41c48.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed No56c45.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No63c44.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.591,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Yes42c44.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed No56c43.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed No56c43.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed No56c43.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No58c42.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.173,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44425%11 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4533…e6bbbacked No62c39.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a8…9829backed No41c39.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+59.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No74c37.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.795156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb71…b5a0backed Yes39c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes39c36.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.273452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes40c34.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74d…3bcfbacked Yes42c34.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No73c34.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No73c34.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.38350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No79c33.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0115654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No79c33.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.016842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No77c31.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3212464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No79c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5611553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6866…b8f4backed Yes42c29.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No57c29.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.817156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Yes37c28.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.