TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No77c12,562$9,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,677.2647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c5,645$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.5978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No3c1,580$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2641339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes27c1,486$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.781421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66b…1220backed Yes14c1,429$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes14c1,421$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes22c1,364$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.6315458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes19c1,344$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.8523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No17c1,118$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No24c1,116$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.051833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No57c1,013$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.2417753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes18c969.21$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.754047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes38c963.73$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.6731834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No29c819.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes26c757.95$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4823548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No79c736.77$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.952060%12 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Yes21c726.77$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes20c696.65$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.325133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No48c682.62$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.751,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb4…71c3backed Yes60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c656.78$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.9977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes63c581.55$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5816856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes66c555.55$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4719960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes75c555.55$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6920660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes21c554.29$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No60c509.11$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2226346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes43c500.87$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1848344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No31c475.92$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No80c465.68$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409652.1%50 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes20c285$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22811441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae42…d956backed Yes52c275.33$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c264.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.741,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes20c249.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c229.18$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.673,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes22c224.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.017564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes20c221.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5355750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes19c221.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.051526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes19c218.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.758454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No23c217.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.08450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+125%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Yes19c213$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5312849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes16c208.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.791060%6 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick16cpaid+280.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No79c164.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1253046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes40c160$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No68c157.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3322946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c152.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.820535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No78c151$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.061050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes18c140.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3139234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes18c137.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.915839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No67c136$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.129437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes24c130$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.822269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes23c130$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.115676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes18c128$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes18c126.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes18c120.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.792646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes38c119.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1525934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes18c119.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.327334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…b1a2backed Yes49c111.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd0…78febacked Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No80c90$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No75c78.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.31825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes69c71.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.986254.8%34 W · 28 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes18c61.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.586642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes35c59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.354271.4%30 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c57.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No21c56.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8830957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No39c55.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9412571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes24c53.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.482250%11 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes58c52.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…6011backed Yes22c51.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…f81abacked Yes26c49.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+102.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd945…fbd1backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…f1e1backed Yes45c43.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes24c41.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.895626.8%15 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.84020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.82227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e5…00aabacked Yes48c38.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes80c36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes57c34.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes40c33.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3819847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No79c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0720648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c31.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No63c27.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bec…3702backed Yes57c24.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No79c22.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.127058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ab…652cbacked Yes66c21.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf210…3271backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+64.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4847…e064backed No79c19.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes61c17.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed No78c14.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.