Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x765361e1ca5f72f11c38c1118849bd390b15b36d6fd5855c7a64c98347b00d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 7,400$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.16 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 5,890$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.93 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 17c | 4,356$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.05 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 17c | 4,356$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.7 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 17c | 4,356$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.68 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 18c | 4,261$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Yes | 30c | 3,172$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 19c | 2,891$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.11 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,361$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.58 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 22c | 1,141$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 27c | 1,063$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.39 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…16dbbacked Yes | 32c | 994.25$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 10c | 913$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 874.24$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 14c | 860.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 9c | 833.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 68c | 731.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.45 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 14c | 699.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 676.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 23c | 655.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 22c | 629.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 24c | 621.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 66c | 617.91$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 24c | 577.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 20c | 539.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 18c | 437.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 21c | 425.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 19c | 420.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 406.53$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 22c | 386.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 360.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 340$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 17c | 319.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 5c | 308.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 25c | 307.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed No | 71c | 281.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 18c | 276.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 25c | 252$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 20c | 240.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 23c | 213.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Yes | 21c | 207.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed No | 69c | 196.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…f8f8backed Yes | 18c | 183.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 69c | 181.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 30c | 172.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 16c | 164.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 15c | 158.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 15c | 157.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 16c | 132.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 16c | 120.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 13c | 119.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Yes | 12c | 116.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 14c | 113.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 16c | 113.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 16c | 112.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 16c | 112.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…2be0backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…a279backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…e360backed Yes | 17c | 88.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…b368backed Yes | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 24c | 41.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 40.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked No | 72c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…dd1cbacked No | 79c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.