Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ab892d46eb4f1b8212384432950b57b00f3171d1079870037b16756b15fc46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fulham FCof Liverpool FC, Fulham FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Liverpool FC | 26c | 3,813$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.31 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Liverpool FC | 12c | 1,999$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fulham FC | 57c | 823.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.74 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Fulham FC | 74c | 486.27$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Fulham FC | 73c | 466.21$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Liverpool FC | 15c | 446.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Fulham FC | 59c | 251.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Fulham FC | 62c | 242.55$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liverpool FC | 43c | 241.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Liverpool FC | 12c | 158.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Fulham FC | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Fulham FC | 60c | 113.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Liverpool FC | 18c | 109.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Liverpool FC | 15c | 109.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Liverpool FC | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liverpool FC | 16c | 78.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liverpool FC | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Fulham FC | 72c | 49.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Fulham FC | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Fulham FC | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Fulham FC | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Fulham FC | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…fa6ebacked Liverpool FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.