Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d4f24c7673abbae043e00ae0339641b0b8479809530552c488babf95d5cd76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,678$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.38 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 999.98$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 873.47$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 724.68$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 68c | 626.47$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 561.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 35c | 396.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 15c | 385.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 252.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed No | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 202.96$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 66c | 158.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 116.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 102.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 98.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 33c | 88.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Yes | 37c | 63.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 34c | 61.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 60.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 68c | 44.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 44.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 31c | 37.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 31.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 30.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 65c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 68c | 20.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.