Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2e6a069f85025359da8e19f03a139e99b65ac7ee658c6d38782f808b91fb31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 36c | 2,671$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 2,543$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.81 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,272$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 34c | 827.86$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.39 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 814.16$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.3 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 757.33$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 511.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 376.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 374.35$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 67c | 289$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 67c | 274.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…e299backed Yes | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 36c | 235.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 36c | 174.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 71c | 170.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes | 37c | 156.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 100.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 34c | 97.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 67c | 89.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…ce8bbacked Yes | 58c | 67.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed No | 63c | 65.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 78c | 63.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 18c | 54.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 36c | 52.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 36c | 46.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 37c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 34c | 44.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 64c | 41.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 32c | 38.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 38.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 66c | 37.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Yes | 39c | 36.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa2…ba3ebacked Yes | 36c | 35.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 35c | 33.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Yes | 80c | 30.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked No | 62c | 23.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 63c | 18.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 63c | 18.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.