Fifa International · resolved market
Will Andorra vs. Iraq end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x326a2996b0d6a221e4fb4bdc00720eff936ccde1b3ac0b9ddd1385ae0db4b598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 80c | 9,446$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.03 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 8,291$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.64 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,874$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 21c | 1,184$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 20c | 1,061$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.29 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 25c | 947.43$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.06 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 19c | 654.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 17c | 542.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 80c | 499.82$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…bcc4backed Yes | 9c | 433.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 27c | 430.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…603cbacked No | 79c | 424.05$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 399.91$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045b…ba94backed Yes | 21c | 374.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 328.08$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 307.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 24c | 290.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 24c | 290.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 22c | 221$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 175$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 129.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 20c | 126$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 113.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 106$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Yes | 12c | 86.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 19c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 22c | 70.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 48.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 48.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 78c | 39.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 77c | 28.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 15.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed No | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andorra vs. Iraq end in a draw?this page
- Will Andorra win on 2026-05-29?No won
- Will Iraq win on 2026-05-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.