South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb852612533c107accf64e5965352d4a970ee27b008de47b8fb0d41f4f7a81814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Over | 32c | 1,991$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 68c | 1,741$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.97 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 690.62$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.47 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 37c | 626.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 63c | 546.22$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 531.69$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 67c | 333.51$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 39c | 240.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 72c | 196.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 149.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 59c | 140.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 125.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Over | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 39c | 104.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 71c | 103.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 40c | 84.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 31c | 79.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 32c | 77.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 29c | 70.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 32c | 62.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…9ac8backed Over | 36c | 56.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 51c | 54.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 47.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 61c | 41.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 56c | 39.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 38.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 33.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 26.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 55c | 26.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 61c | 20.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.