Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7176dffe5ba74d5b1abe7276bfdf4c26189efb09baacded3e287f39500bb7141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 1,715$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 71c | 902.82$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 329.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.28 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 190$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 29c | 135.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 31c | 119.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 31c | 101.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 92.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13f…0730backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 89.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5b46backed Over | 44c | 73.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +241%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 62.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 40c | 60.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 56.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 56.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 49c | 56.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 47.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 35.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 58c | 32.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 71c | 21.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Swansea City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.