NHL · resolved market
AHL: San Diego Gulls vs. Colorado Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad61d5a65f72f28f33aec5ec5804f30a7779eee21c40c6b8d3c83cdfa241db4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Eaglesof San Diego Gulls, Colorado Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 289.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Colorado Eagles | 76c | 259.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Colorado Eagles | 60c | 250.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed San Diego Gulls | 24c | 248.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed San Diego Gulls | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Colorado Eagles | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed San Diego Gulls | 32c | 140.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed San Diego Gulls | 37c | 132.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed San Diego Gulls | 37c | 123.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked San Diego Gulls | 37c | 110.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 77.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Colorado Eagles | 65c | 74.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Colorado Eagles | 68c | 51.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked San Diego Gulls | 36c | 48.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked San Diego Gulls | 34c | 42.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed San Diego Gulls | 35c | 35.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Diego Gulls | 32c | 33.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Colorado Eagles | 61c | 27.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colorado Eagles | 60c | 17.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.