NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f7e893f21cf5184cb7d8a99ef1e1793a9a9cccb9d15b3b27b6c77dcd32a825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 2,017$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ak Bars Kazan | 46c | 1,302$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.81 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 899.69$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.52 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 32c | 898.97$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.67 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 499.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.74 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 364.43$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 45c | 345.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…7352backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 339.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 298.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 258.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…a462backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 258.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 253.04$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 226.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…d468backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 203$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 41c | 186.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 98.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 28c | 86.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 75c | 76.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Ak Bars Kazan | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 53cpaid | +72%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 67.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 42c | 65.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…9feabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…2199backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 54.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…b08fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 31c | 48.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 47.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 40.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…20babacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 37.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 32.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 28.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 27.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 45c | 23.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…8cd8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.