NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b46967aa40bdafc28266e594d613d1954228cf31aac21d31c7c817b998525a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Avangard Omsk, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Avangard Omsk | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.38 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 707.52$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.01 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3114…3ae6backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 563.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avangard Omsk | 49c | 489.84$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 50c | 442.97$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 40c | 418.47$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.36 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Avangard Omsk | 51c | 369.17$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Avangard Omsk | 60c | 337.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Avangard Omsk | 62c | 319.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…ef24backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 309.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 22c | 299.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 263.15$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…5220backed Avangard Omsk | 59c | 249.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 27c | 230.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 38c | 229.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 221.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 169.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…e966backed Avangard Omsk | 59c | 166.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Avangard Omsk | 57c | 158.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…2db2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 154.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…a715backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 145.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…1707backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 135.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 133.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 130.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…7128backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 42c | 127.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Avangard Omsk | 39c | 125.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 36c | 124.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 36c | 116.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a3…da6fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 107.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…3dd1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 98.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 93.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…8a14backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 91.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b899backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 84.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 41c | 78.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked Avangard Omsk | 58c | 70.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…699fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 42c | 56.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 39c | 44.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 35.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 33.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avangard Omsk | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 28.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Avangard Omsk | 71c | 15.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.