NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovenia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808461f05fd2cb8f0f52bba7cdf94eeefd6d633cd4e43d7f51271ce28a87670a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denmarkof Denmark, Slovenia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe209…a56cbacked Slovenia | 0c | 5,962$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Slovenia | 32c | 1,257$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Denmark | 68c | 445.92$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…1169backed Denmark | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Denmark | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Denmark | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Slovenia | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3bc2backed Denmark | 75c | 203.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Denmark | 69c | 169.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Slovenia | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Slovenia | 25c | 145.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Denmark | 69c | 144.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Denmark | 69c | 144.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Denmark | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Denmark | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Slovenia | 31c | 120.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Slovenia | 29c | 110.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…324cbacked Slovenia | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…20e2backed Slovenia | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Slovenia | 27c | 94.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Denmark | 69c | 83.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Denmark | 68c | 81.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Slovenia | 31c | 73.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Slovenia | 29c | 73.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Denmark | 74c | 73.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Slovenia | 32c | 67.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Slovenia | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Denmark | 69c | 51.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Denmark | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Denmark | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Slovenia | 25c | 41.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e9dcbacked Denmark | 74c | 40.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed Slovenia | 30c | 40.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Slovenia | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Denmark | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Denmark | 68c | 28.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Slovenia | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Denmark | 60c | 27.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Denmark | 68c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Denmark | 69c | 16.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Denmark | 73c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.