NHL · resolved market
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2b6773c88880b8c02cf2cab68efa96593e794e0245fbbea3970b680e81a3c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Metallurg Magnitogorsk, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 629.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…5117backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 45c | 445.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 209.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 41c | 192.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 15c | 183.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 13c | 177.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ak Bars Kazan | 58c | 137.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 25c | 116.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 45c | 95.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 56c | 90.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 56c | 82.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Ak Bars Kazan | 71c | 66.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 23c | 66.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 59.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 54c | 47.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 45c | 29.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 58c | 29.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…8070backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 39c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…3c54backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 61c | 20.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.