Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7d14d154a76968910a86d9d2e6964da5e63a6f40401a0938ac64652681564d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 16,842$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,251.96 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 44c | 11,854$5,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,215.69 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 10,500$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.97 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,840$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.16 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,455$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.28 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.98 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 46c | 2,187$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 1,702$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.75 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 58c | 1,570$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.4 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 1,542$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 1,309$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.74 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 45c | 1,073$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 56c | 960.71$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.71 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 40c | 881.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.17 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 37c | 810.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 677.49$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.78 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 593.42$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 80c | 501.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 54c | 499.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Under | 44c | 499.93$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 64c | 421.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Over | 62c | 402.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 44c | 350$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 12c | 332.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 284.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 47c | 263$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 57c | 256.14$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 56c | 210$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 191.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 56c | 190.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 44c | 162.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Over | 78c | 134.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 32c | 125.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 53c | 121.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 30c | 98.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 52c | 94.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 56c | 86.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 44c | 81.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 70.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Under | 76c | 68.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Over | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Over | 34c | 64.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…1cd0backed Over | 58c | 62.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 40c | 54.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 56c | 52.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 56c | 48.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 56c | 41.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 40.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…e7bbbacked Under | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 55c | 30.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Under | 45c | 30.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.