Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0921f452c30971f2ffbf0d005690f889da2b6e3b318a47126298958597ca3b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 50c | 127$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 114.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…73bcbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 32c | 46.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.