Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c0bcc04862aedb2e6223beef6b0122db66043250a408f318a50b7306d8baa0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 483.28$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 454.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 29c | 285.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 30c | 142$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 73c | 38.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 27c | 38.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…f53bbacked Under | 31c | 36.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…eff8backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…9422backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…a3aebacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…a2d1backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…4d5bbacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…c890backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…095dbacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…f150backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…38a3backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f7…4933backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…c1edbacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6c…cd29backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d9…e920backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…a3edbacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…630cbacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…5870backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…fef9backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…7904backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3527…71a6backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f9…b8b1backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7696…e9fcbacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165c…6c0dbacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…39d7backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…d8f4backed Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…1a3bbacked Under | 31c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over | 67c | 34.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 70c | 34.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.