Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc52fda15ed578f92340a63bae7bfb1c1716738db12901216ee365c1c35cde0f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 2,959$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 1,631$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.92 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 33c | 1,517$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 39c | 1,508$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 34c | 1,463$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 54c | 1,005$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 68c | 908.21$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.02 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a2…b3ffbacked Over | 37c | 865.6$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Over | 32c | 784.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 709.31$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 494.75$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 453.86$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 73c | 447.73$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 37c | 407.86$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 27c | 392$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…6a73backed Under | 64c | 310.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 256.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 34c | 173$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 19c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 28c | 140.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Over | 26c | 137.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 25c | 117.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 116.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 29c | 68.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 70c | 54.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Over | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 51.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Under | 65c | 46.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked Under | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…5713backed Over | 37c | 43.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 40c | 42.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 37c | 31.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Under | 66c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 45c | 25.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…12b5backed Under | 64c | 24.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Under | 70c | 23.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…459bbacked Under | 64c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…f76ebacked Under | 64c | 17.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed Under | 76c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tondela (-1.5)FC Alverca won
- Spread: CD Tondela (-2.5)FC Alverca won
- Spread: FC Alverca (-2.5)CD Tondela won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.