Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c7294e5fdb5e99bfacbbf22d1d592cc92525ca0609c32a413394106e9685010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 6,315$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 20c | 1,451$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.25 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 23c | 1,342$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.06 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 944.8$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 22c | 512.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 469.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 76c | 380.62$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 26c | 304$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 34c | 193.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 170.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 21c | 153.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes | 77c | 130.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…3d18backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 21c | 120.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 77c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 77c | 74.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 67.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 33c | 56.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 24c | 53.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…9b47backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 69c | 52.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 78c | 51.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…be20backed Yes | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…8908backed Yes | 78c | 33.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…d47cbacked Yes | 71c | 28.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 76c | 23.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 80c | 18.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 78c | 16.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 75c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 77c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Moreirense FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?No won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.