Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gdansk: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lia Karatancheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090e6e658fa8a97b4ce1a6d0186637b94de887b19b777068661f7eb6da62ef1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steurof Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, Lia Karatancheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 64c | 2,064$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lia Karatancheva | 36c | 861.69$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lia Karatancheva | 37c | 352$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Lia Karatancheva | 24c | 203.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lia Karatancheva | 36c | 190.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 189.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 60c | 189.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lia Karatancheva | 38c | 155.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Lia Karatancheva | 38c | 132.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lia Karatancheva | 20c | 118.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 36c | 107.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lia Karatancheva | 36c | 88.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Lia Karatancheva | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 36c | 83.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 46c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lia Karatancheva | 20c | 68.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lia Karatancheva | 43c | 65.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 56c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lia Karatancheva | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…d620backed Lia Karatancheva | 67c | 41.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Lia Karatancheva | 44c | 34.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Lia Karatancheva | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 65c | 21.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 64c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 70c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…3b6cbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lia Karatancheva | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 14.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.