Cricket · resolved market
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe90d8acfe8496853c05783c0fc680406e83cc3ee118c7ff264be73fb9838b79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigeriaof Brazil, Nigeria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Nigeria | 47c | 8,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.97 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brazil | 53c | 6,451$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.82 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Brazil | 61c | 2,342$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 1c | 1,508$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigeria | 46c | 525.68$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.75 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Nigeria | 76c | 501.8$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Brazil | 35c | 472.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brazil | 40c | 466.38$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Brazil | 56c | 399.89$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Brazil | 12c | 345$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Brazil | 44c | 300.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Nigeria | 80c | 273.18$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Nigeria | 33c | 265.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nigeria | 61c | 259.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nigeria | 39c | 241.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Nigeria | 40c | 218.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Brazil | 43c | 202.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Brazil | 28c | 199.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nigeria | 72c | 181$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Brazil | 59c | 168.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nigeria | 39c | 166.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Nigeria | 26c | 160.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Brazil | 43c | 147.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Nigeria | 50c | 145.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nigeria | 56c | 142.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Brazil | 37c | 120.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Brazil | 17c | 116.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Nigeria | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Brazil | 63c | 96.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Brazil | 53c | 94.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Nigeria | 39c | 85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Nigeria | 73c | 82.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Nigeria | 61c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Nigeria | 54c | 80.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…0c85backed Brazil | 19c | 71.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…869abacked Brazil | 32c | 63.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nigeria | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Brazil | 54c | 60.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nigeria | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brazil | 27c | 50.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…1b53backed Brazil | 59c | 50.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Brazil | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Nigeria | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nigeria | 65c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nigeria | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Brazil | 50c | 32.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Nigeria | 41c | 29.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Nigeria | 51c | 21.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Nigeria | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.