Tennis · resolved market
ITF Blois: Jana Otzipka vs Clara Burel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e6518484f34750dfc16a6183c4b396d2dc47347dfc281e55f003e46ed60cc3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clara Burelof Jana Otzipka, Clara Burel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clara Burel | 78c | 18,157$14,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.27 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jana Otzipka | 20c | 15,636$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Clara Burel | 80c | 2,203$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.35 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Jana Otzipka | 21c | 683.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Jana Otzipka | 35c | 574.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Clara Burel | 66c | 561.62$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.41 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Jana Otzipka | 17c | 434.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jana Otzipka | 7c | 358.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jana Otzipka | 18c | 302.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jana Otzipka | 16c | 205.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jana Otzipka | 6c | 190$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Clara Burel | 67c | 163$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Jana Otzipka | 15c | 134.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Jana Otzipka | 20c | 131.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jana Otzipka | 41c | 129.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Jana Otzipka | 43c | 116.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Clara Burel | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Clara Burel | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Clara Burel | 76c | 96.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…0242backed Jana Otzipka | 26c | 87.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Jana Otzipka | 22c | 85.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Clara Burel | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Clara Burel | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Clara Burel | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Clara Burel | 73c | 33.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 103 | 68.9%71 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Clara Burel | 73c | 32.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Clara Burel | 71c | 27.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Jana Otzipka | 47c | 26.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Clara Burel | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Clara Burel | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Clara Burel | 71c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Clara Burel | 77c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Clara Burel | 59c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.