MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089ee1cd8fd7e3406465f9672887e35eb1f9d24efd7f1d189fc551dc69800928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 37,109$18,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,554.37 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 23,103$11,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,782.53 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,374.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 50c | 10,250$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 7,946$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 7,650$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 4,824$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 4,644$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.41 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 2,834$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Over | 51c | 1,431$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 24c | 1,216$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 960.59$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 49c | 935$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.85 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 792.57$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…8f95backed Under | 50c | 784.56$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 778.75$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.16 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 687$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.37 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 646.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 451.36$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 401$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 299$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 239.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 48c | 99.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…daecbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 78c | 83.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 63c | 80.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 51c | 78.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 72.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 69c | 71.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Over | 35c | 62.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 26c | 52.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 49c | 46.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 60c | 38.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 41c | 34.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 59c | 25.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 51c | 25.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…82fcbacked Under | 50c | 24.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.