Tennis · resolved market
ITF Blois: Julia Riera vs Mathilde Lollia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11710ac20a0f67b7e99bba2a3b20cb5ca4e3a16b2cb27721b86e3fb471264add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Rieraof Julia Riera, Mathilde Lollia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Julia Riera | 65c | 5,658$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mathilde Lollia | 13c | 2,651$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mathilde Lollia | 42c | 2,337$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Julia Riera | 74c | 1,276$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.79 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mathilde Lollia | 16c | 801.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mathilde Lollia | 20c | 666.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Mathilde Lollia | 23c | 633.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Julia Riera | 64c | 571.88$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.88 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mathilde Lollia | 14c | 451.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mathilde Lollia | 11c | 397.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Mathilde Lollia | 15c | 392.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mathilde Lollia | 11c | 380.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Mathilde Lollia | 9c | 328.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mathilde Lollia | 11c | 266.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Julia Riera | 38c | 253.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Julia Riera | 30c | 249.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mathilde Lollia | 43c | 218.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Julia Riera | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Julia Riera | 32c | 175$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mathilde Lollia | 22c | 159.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Mathilde Lollia | 12c | 147.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mathilde Lollia | 30c | 140.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Mathilde Lollia | 15c | 138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Mathilde Lollia | 13c | 136.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mathilde Lollia | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Julia Riera | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mathilde Lollia | 38c | 91.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Julia Riera | 67c | 84.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Julia Riera | 67c | 80.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Julia Riera | 78c | 72.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Julia Riera | 26c | 66.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mathilde Lollia | 45c | 63.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Julia Riera | 21c | 60.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mathilde Lollia | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Julia Riera | 29c | 56.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Julia Riera | 68c | 54.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Julia Riera | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Mathilde Lollia | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Julia Riera | 58c | 40.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Julia Riera | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Mathilde Lollia | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Mathilde Lollia | 46c | 32.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Julia Riera | 41c | 30.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julia Riera | 65c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mathilde Lollia | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Julia Riera | 75c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.