TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Halle Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniil Medvedevof Tomas Etcheverry, Daniil Medvedev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Tomas Etcheverry9c15,404$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.88,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ba…f577backed Tomas Etcheverry11c10,244$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.546732.8%22 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Tomas Etcheverry2c6,416$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.051,2058%96 W · 1,109 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Daniil Medvedev80c6,302$5,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.4645957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Tomas Etcheverry10c5,010$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50147328.3%134 W · 339 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Tomas Etcheverry13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65045036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Tomas Etcheverry7c4,909$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1716529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tomas Etcheverry3c3,286$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.956,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Tomas Etcheverry23c2,520$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.854138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tomas Etcheverry13c2,253$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.43,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…d782backed Tomas Etcheverry13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010853.7%58 W · 50 L+13.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Tomas Etcheverry19c1,536$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.981,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Tomas Etcheverry20c1,444$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.811133.3%37 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Tomas Etcheverry9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Tomas Etcheverry17c1,230$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Tomas Etcheverry23c1,206$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.343547.4%206 W · 229 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Tomas Etcheverry19c1,158$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010440.4%42 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Tomas Etcheverry11c1,076$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8427724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…f1eabacked Tomas Etcheverry20c1,027$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4960%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Tomas Etcheverry9c1,011$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9171725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Tomas Etcheverry26c999.99$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.392,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Tomas Etcheverry18c850.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012125.6%31 W · 90 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Tomas Etcheverry12c834.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Daniil Medvedev76c750.09$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.021,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Tomas Etcheverry11c609.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2552910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Tomas Etcheverry20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tomas Etcheverry3c514.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.131,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tomas Etcheverry19c511.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Tomas Etcheverry21c467.19$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Daniil Medvedev74c430.48$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.922962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Tomas Etcheverry10c390$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3919410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Tomas Etcheverry18c388.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.995,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Tomas Etcheverry28c359.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3221524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x112a…4778backed Tomas Etcheverry10c356.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.544528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Daniil Medvedev76c286.18$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.681,01657.7%586 W · 430 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Tomas Etcheverry21c279.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.236937.9%140 W · 229 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Tomas Etcheverry15c270$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6348637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Tomas Etcheverry20c250.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4113838.4%53 W · 85 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Tomas Etcheverry9c248.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4162727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Tomas Etcheverry19c238.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.391,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f06…abe1backed Tomas Etcheverry6c238.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513330.1%40 W · 93 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Tomas Etcheverry18c230$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.445744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tomas Etcheverry18c224.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.392,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniil Medvedev72c220.21$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.438,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Tomas Etcheverry19c210$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.91,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Tomas Etcheverry20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Daniil Medvedev79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036b…ead4backed Daniil Medvedev73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Daniil Medvedev77c197.37$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7324975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Daniil Medvedev71c185.41$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.644,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Tomas Etcheverry21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353850%19 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b9…8359backed Tomas Etcheverry19c162.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Tomas Etcheverry8c161.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.925633.9%19 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Daniil Medvedev80c154.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.813,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Tomas Etcheverry10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566531.3%208 W · 457 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e8…b293backed Tomas Etcheverry20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020337.9%77 W · 126 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0967…164cbacked Daniil Medvedev75c135.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Tomas Etcheverry26c133.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,17852.4%617 W · 561 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Tomas Etcheverry17c130.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.732732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Daniil Medvedev77c129.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9427771.8%199 W · 78 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Daniil Medvedev80c127$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.43,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Tomas Etcheverry19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9555032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Tomas Etcheverry18c102.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1970821.2%150 W · 558 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Tomas Etcheverry19c102.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.544446.2%205 W · 239 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Tomas Etcheverry19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918044.4%80 W · 100 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Tomas Etcheverry18c93.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Tomas Etcheverry19c92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.489040%36 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Daniil Medvedev72c87.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…ed03backed Tomas Etcheverry20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Daniil Medvedev75c71.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8343452.3%227 W · 207 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Tomas Etcheverry19c65.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Daniil Medvedev80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd480…0242backed Tomas Etcheverry20c55.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.312020%4 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd423…0dacbacked Tomas Etcheverry20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Daniil Medvedev79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5443250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Tomas Etcheverry25c41.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4226939%105 W · 164 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfd…63bfbacked Tomas Etcheverry25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa276…dcfabacked Daniil Medvedev80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Daniil Medvedev76c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6492674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…8893backed Daniil Medvedev75c26.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd4…fe7bbacked Daniil Medvedev77c25.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.911764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Daniil Medvedev80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,82853.1%971 W · 857 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…8da2backed Daniil Medvedev77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.483745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf787…d1c5backed Daniil Medvedev77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Daniil Medvedev79c19.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Daniil Medvedev80c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0333673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Daniil Medvedev78c15.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3139161.4%240 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Daniil Medvedev80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.59458.5%55 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.