Champions League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ebc8c96cf5082bf86ccde1e407550771c1f7ff306bc14f43d42e3c095dce401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 75c | 5,869$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 24c | 4,001$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.35 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 2c | 3,195$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 2,788$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 2,110$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 1,748$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.9 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 73c | 1,212$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.63 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 79c | 1,141$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 77c | 940.21$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 861.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 15c | 522.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 75c | 507$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…5ce9backed No | 25c | 456$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed No | 8c | 423.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 25c | 390$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 6c | 389$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 24c | 386.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Yes | 79c | 361.58$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 75c | 289.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 79c | 259.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 23c | 255.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 75c | 249.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked No | 23c | 225$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 24c | 197.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 25c | 189.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 76c | 179.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 25c | 170.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 79c | 145.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 77c | 121.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 30c | 100.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 25c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…0fa2backed Yes | 75c | 99.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 77c | 91.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Yes | 75c | 83.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 75c | 75.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 25c | 72.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed No | 25c | 66.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 69c | 64.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 24c | 58.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 75c | 53.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 76c | 42.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 25c | 42.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Yes | 76c | 34.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 78cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 79c | 31.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 80c | 26.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 76c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 75c | 23.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes | 76c | 19.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed Yes | 80c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 78c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d9…b963backed Yes | 75c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-14?this page
- Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-14?No won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.