Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763a0f0e3095f3f988c3be2937ff77faa77af359e88a96512deb9dd0055e4a07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 48c | 6,527$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 49c | 3,493$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.19 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes | 27c | 1,842$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 57c | 1,775$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.3 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Yes | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 1,245$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.49 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 923.64$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.75 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 47c | 885.1$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.3 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Yes | 30c | 666.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 52c | 624.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.51 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 66c | 577$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.61 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 60c | 542.45$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 511.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 47c | 434.39$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…7f51backed Yes | 52c | 335$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 33c | 315.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 289.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 50c | 185.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 171.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 136.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 72c | 118.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…00a1backed Yes | 41c | 98.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked No | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 51c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 96.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 94.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 47c | 68.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 68.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 56.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 62c | 55.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 50.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 48.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 49c | 36.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 49c | 35.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 51c | 34.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 51c | 29.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…1642backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 56c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 49c | 24.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 47c | 22.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.