Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ac050152fa58d64d2a80bceb03a8f3cb11e486130028aca1aa25fcd3c37c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 8,695$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 4,830$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.42 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…e2c1backed Yes | 23c | 4,188$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +253.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed No | 58c | 3,858$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,916$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.11 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 1,779$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.54 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 78c | 1,771$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.28 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 41c | 1,190$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.1 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Yes | 42c | 947$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 27c | 862.63$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.83 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 847.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 596.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 77c | 470$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 60c | 396.5$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 18c | 299.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 38c | 237.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 78c | 175.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 163.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 14c | 155.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 22c | 124.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 77c | 84.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 77c | 79.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 41c | 79.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 22c | 76.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 28c | 67.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 64.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 76c | 51.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 45.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 32c | 45.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 43c | 43.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 41.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 80c | 27.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 15.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.