Asian League · resolved market
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9539877762be9165de89b523adba4ee9c4d4baf81d7b491865e25c13c5f7945c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 64c | 4,500$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,669$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.38 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 36c | 993.18$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.55 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 736.33$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 717.96$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.47 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 63c | 490.49$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.89 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 12c | 332.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 14c | 329.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 36c | 326.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 313.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 295.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 36c | 284.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 36c | 230$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 228$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 63c | 172.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 37c | 159$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 157.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 36c | 148.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 201 | 57.2%115 W · 86 L | +15.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…8f69backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 68.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32d…44e0backed Yes | 36c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 64c | 57.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…7736backed No | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…053cbacked No | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 36c | 33.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…8fd4backed No | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 31.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…7506backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 25.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 63c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked No | 64c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed No | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.