Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ce15a938fc78a03c7b175ce8c56f085fbd45381dd55af4b9152f1bfb602227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 9,784$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.93 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 72c | 7,338$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.9 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Yes | 61c | 1,515$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,484$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.98 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 65c | 1,126$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.01 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 1,031$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.26 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 528.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 41c | 428.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 241.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 194.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Yes | 72c | 138.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 23c | 135.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 128.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 115.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 103.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 29c | 101.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 41c | 94.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 88.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 86.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 66c | 53.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked No | 29c | 52.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 70c | 48.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 48.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 45.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 26c | 42.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…4349backed Yes | 62c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 63c | 32.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 48c | 30.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 71c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 71c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 72c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 77c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 75c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.