WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaebbe0abb7ebd2acf8fe28f4de32faac5ad816f5ee7f78b7ddf90a8cfbf091cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 4,476$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.82 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 2,600$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.98 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,522$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,444$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.16 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,418$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.38 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,375$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.4 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 1,242$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 1,107$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.04 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,063$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 844.11$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.72 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 723.4$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 658$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 645.14$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 535$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 504.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.43 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 372.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 326.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 308.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 270.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 267.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 259.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 240.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 240.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 173$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 146.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 111.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 87.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 79.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 78.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 77.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 36.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 25.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto TempoDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 184.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.