WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7399646fbd7093f2c7472339a0118ef2bab4f0e8067ef2cf9ca19974ad729af8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 3,313$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.55 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 2,318$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 2,242$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,250$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 949.99$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 767.84$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.14 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 614.43$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.52 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 610$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 561.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 369$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dallas Wings | 76c | 362.38$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 259.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo | 22c | 224$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 221.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 195.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Toronto Tempo | 26c | 125.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 112$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 99.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 85.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Toronto Tempo | 26c | 71.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 66.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 54.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Toronto Tempo | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dallas Wings | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 39.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed Dallas Wings | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cb…06a6backed Dallas Wings | 79c | 24.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Dallas Wings | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dallas Wings | 72c | 19.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto TempoDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 184.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.