WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 184.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03356e9b317417deab59234d4f5ed3da81004ce323eea5f46d6ebc0788e9877b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 1,652$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.89 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 49c | 1,392$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.92 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,367$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 50c | 801.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.38 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Under | 47c | 603.92$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 561$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.33 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 51c | 395.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.19 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 237$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 53c | 177.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 53c | 145.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 53c | 42.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 39.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 184.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto TempoDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.