WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9907a067e874b86216a58b8d5737260407e7db43297c1495f1c5e79b0fc1db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 6,061$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.4 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 2c | 5,646$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 47c | 5,580$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 4,775$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.77 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 3,960$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.44 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 1,477$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.76 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 49c | 1,086$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 59c | 932.96$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.32 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 57c | 791$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.86 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 57c | 703.76$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.76 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Under | 55c | 331$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 57c | 313$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 57c | 291$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 210.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 183.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 71c | 141.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 51c | 137.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 57c | 132.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 119.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 56c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 56c | 97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 96.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 58c | 76.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 57c | 63.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 62c | 60.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 53.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 56c | 41.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 64c | 39.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 57c | 39.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 47c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 32c | 32.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Under | 58c | 26.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 53c | 20.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 54c | 18.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 69c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto TempoDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 184.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.