Tennis · resolved market
Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xead46ea74090d21701b26d0c87aba25b34b4ccc920765ebbfb677de81ac50497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elmer Moellerof Raul Brancaccio, Elmer Moeller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Elmer Moeller | 77c | 9,599$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.72 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 9,160$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Raul Brancaccio | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raul Brancaccio | 22c | 4,036$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.11 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Raul Brancaccio | 18c | 3,077$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.83 | 329 | 35.6%117 W · 212 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Raul Brancaccio | 46c | 3,061$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 2,277$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.14 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Raul Brancaccio | 18c | 1,946$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Raul Brancaccio | 9c | 1,589$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Raul Brancaccio | 6c | 1,540$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elmer Moeller | 78c | 1,215$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.95 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…b884backed Raul Brancaccio | 8c | 1,117$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Raul Brancaccio | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elmer Moeller | 77c | 1,106$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Elmer Moeller | 74c | 1,011$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.89 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 40.6%149 W · 218 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Raul Brancaccio | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…cffdbacked Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9b…8043backed Raul Brancaccio | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Raul Brancaccio | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 769.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.03 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Elmer Moeller | 56c | 633.02$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Raul Brancaccio | 6c | 600.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 587.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Raul Brancaccio | 19c | 474.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elmer Moeller | 52c | 446.58$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Raul Brancaccio | 21c | 407.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 244 | 31.1%76 W · 168 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Raul Brancaccio | 6c | 377.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Raul Brancaccio | 29c | 367.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Raul Brancaccio | 10c | 334.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elmer Moeller | 72c | 324.12$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 320.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Raul Brancaccio | 24c | 305.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Elmer Moeller | 78c | 280.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 248.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Elmer Moeller | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…4f75backed Raul Brancaccio | 11c | 216.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Elmer Moeller | 65c | 206.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 202$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Raul Brancaccio | 64c | 198.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Elmer Moeller | 76c | 179.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Elmer Moeller | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Elmer Moeller | 59c | 175.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Elmer Moeller | 61c | 164.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…3b06backed Raul Brancaccio | 11c | 152.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +139%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Raul Brancaccio | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…9874backed Raul Brancaccio | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Elmer Moeller | 33c | 138.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elmer Moeller | 76c | 133.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 24c | 133.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Elmer Moeller | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Raul Brancaccio | 24c | 128.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 472 | 34.7%164 W · 308 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Raul Brancaccio | 41c | 121.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 119.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Raul Brancaccio | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Raul Brancaccio | 17c | 111.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Raul Brancaccio | 23c | 110.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Elmer Moeller | 59c | 92.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Raul Brancaccio | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…5542backed Elmer Moeller | 61c | 79.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Raul Brancaccio | 25c | 76.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…6accbacked Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 76.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Elmer Moeller | 80c | 75.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Raul Brancaccio | 59c | 67.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Raul Brancaccio | 22c | 65.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…0a1bbacked Elmer Moeller | 61c | 61.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Raul Brancaccio | 41c | 60.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Raul Brancaccio | 38c | 59.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Raul Brancaccio | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 49.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Elmer Moeller | 60c | 48.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Elmer Moeller | 67c | 44.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Raul Brancaccio | 42c | 43.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Elmer Moeller | 49c | 42.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 40.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Elmer Moeller | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Elmer Moeller | 75c | 35.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…8580backed Elmer Moeller | 78c | 33.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Elmer Moeller | 60c | 33.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Elmer Moeller | 42c | 29.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Elmer Moeller | 61c | 29.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 162 | 56.2%91 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Elmer Moeller | 65c | 28.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Elmer Moeller | 60c | 25.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…ff71backed Elmer Moeller | 65c | 20.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Elmer Moeller | 60c | 16.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 478 | 51.5%246 W · 232 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moellerthis page
- Brancaccio vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.