Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Bulgaria vs Czechia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e119255d455e2914b4054c876fa6a2bbe0174b55d6d76dd35adf9accb97cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Czechiaof Bulgaria, Czechia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6817…1d97backed Czechia | 64c | 1,726$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bulgaria | 36c | 850.42$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.15 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulgaria | 20c | 689.22$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulgaria | 32c | 451.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Bulgaria | 19c | 444.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bulgaria | 15c | 219.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Czechia | 68c | 185.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bulgaria | 34c | 173.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…6660backed Bulgaria | 31c | 160.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Czechia | 66c | 133.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Bulgaria | 17c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Czechia | 53c | 110.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Bulgaria | 19c | 93.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…fa2dbacked Bulgaria | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Czechia | 69c | 83.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…1eedbacked Bulgaria | 34c | 73.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Czechia | 78c | 70.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…585bbacked Czechia | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bulgaria | 17c | 64.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bulgaria | 26c | 54.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Czechia | 76c | 51.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Czechia | 74c | 40.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Czechia | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bulgaria | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Bulgaria | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Czechia | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…0f00backed Czechia | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…74cfbacked Czechia | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Czechia | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Czechia | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…5b53backed Czechia | 68c | 19.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Czechia | 60c | 16.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.