MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c624dd1e39436bd2d4505cb6a0f59ab60ac06ab614b6232990c42f928dd46a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 50,748$25,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,374.01 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 22c | 36,916$8,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,261.34 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 24,725$11,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,878.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 17,000$12,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 11,355$5,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.43 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 8,266$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.84 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 4,720$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 4,076$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.75 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 3,302$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.47 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,105$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 32c | 3,019$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.15 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 17c | 2,908$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 2,135$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Detroit Tigers | 11c | 2,022$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,596$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.24 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 1,504$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 1,464$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 1,416$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.94 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.94 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 762.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 19c | 731$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 706.2$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 597.24$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.65 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 590$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 567.74$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.42 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 565$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 557.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 485.38$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 329$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 80c | 310.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 253$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 201.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 196.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 188.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Kansas City Royals | 79c | 168.09$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kansas City Royals | 75c | 152.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Detroit Tigers | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 143.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 127.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 123.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 116.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 103.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…9720backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 91.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 91.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 90.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 89.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…e0acbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 73.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 71.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 67.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Detroit Tigers | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…f805backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 61.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf99…74babacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 57.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 53.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 49.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…9282backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 47.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 313 | 53%166 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 46.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 40.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.