MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d370c2fe98c01985766e990a1a84319fc01dc8c8fb1d62af4d34a0c309421f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 50c | 101,046$50,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,852.17 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 36,996$18,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,301.21 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 15c | 19,624$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.72 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 18,982$6,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.41 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 10,654$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.56 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 10,520$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.79 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 10,360$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.48 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 7,790$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.87 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 7,764$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.14 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed New York Mets | 71c | 6,885$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.65 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed New York Mets | 78c | 6,555$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.1 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets | 66c | 6,349$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.66 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Mets | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 5,723$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.51 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 67c | 5,428$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.62 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 64c | 5,367$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.18 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 5,096$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 63c | 5,071$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.26 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 4,500$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed New York Mets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 3,690$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.06 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 3,682$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.86 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed New York Mets | 66c | 3,572$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed New York Mets | 65c | 3,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 2,800$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 2,476$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.88 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 2,476$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.88 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago White Sox | 0c | 2,451$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed New York Mets | 63c | 2,429$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.8 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 2,115$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.7 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,996$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.43 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Chicago White Sox | 2c | 1,699$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Chicago White Sox | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,430$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.09 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed New York Mets | 79c | 1,418$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.01 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Chicago White Sox | 8c | 1,349$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 1,262$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.64 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,248$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Mets | 75c | 1,154$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 78c | 1,131$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.95 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,084$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.19 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…dffdbacked New York Mets | 60c | 1,028$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 999.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.78 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Chicago White Sox | 1c | 970.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 963.42$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.83 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 953.47$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.27 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 952.76$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.91 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago White Sox | 16c | 939.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…5ef0backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 799$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.51 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed New York Mets | 61c | 788.52$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.52 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets | 80c | 636.28$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 571.65$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 527.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 479.84$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed New York Mets | 67c | 454.81$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.03 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 19c | 449.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 434.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 70c | 400.29$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked New York Mets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 388.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 384.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Chicago White Sox | 13c | 376.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked New York Mets | 51c | 327.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets | 58c | 305.41$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed New York Mets | 50c | 288.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Chicago White Sox | 10c | 287.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 254.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Chicago White Sox | 25c | 245$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…1fa5backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 7c | 222.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked New York Mets | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 211$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 203.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed New York Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 194.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 194.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 193.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 73c | 192.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 191.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed New York Mets | 78c | 180.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…e944backed New York Mets | 70c | 177.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed New York Mets | 70c | 171.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…bf9fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 163.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.