WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x533daff7057c50fd45b14c61656791cac170699981a213a603c9032b3787f1ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof New York Liberty, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 6,544$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.76 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Liberty | 50c | 5,043$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.4 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Liberty | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 1,143$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 981.13$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 572.41$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed New York Liberty | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 442.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 441.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Liberty | 46c | 410.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 394.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 351.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 305.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Liberty | 49c | 115.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 91.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed New York Liberty | 52c | 52.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 47.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed New York Liberty | 49c | 36.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed New York Liberty | 49c | 35.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 45c | 32.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…cdcfbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed New York Liberty | 45c | 26.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b3e7backed New York Liberty | 52c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…f6b9backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 21.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertyGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.