WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd10e77d475162995ccd53fbc65062b929a608ebabd22f4dc8e58e2a6be4a0986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 1,365$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 1,326$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 1,138$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.21 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 39c | 1,076$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.26 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 860.55$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 42c | 596$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 58c | 344.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 48c | 271$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 194$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 153$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 40c | 125.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 65c | 115.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 75.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 43c | 68.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 47c | 42.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 51c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 52c | 29.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 52c | 29.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 52c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 53c | 21.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertyGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.