TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6db9…4ab5backed No33c4,155$1,370 inLost-$1,369.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c3,196$2,141 inWon+$1,054.8214043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes72c1,258$901 inWon+$357.3311712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes76c263.68$200 inWon+$63.685324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed No5c235.03$12 inLost-$11.75633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+363%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No65c225.45$146 inLost-$146.475554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed No68c211.95$144 inLost-$1441546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes71c179.99$128 inWon+$5210123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No37c155.28$58 inLost-$58.1518446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No11c144.67$16 inLost-$15.912369.6%16 W · 7 L+12.7wins+0.55per pick14cpaid+387.1%equal weight80+0.27 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes33c107$35 inWon+$71.761963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes48c94.46$45 inWon+$49.227529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes21c85$18 inWon+$67.21330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick17cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No37c57.8$21 inLost-$21.426839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No64c54.86$35 inLost-$34.869554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55d…6984backed Yes36c54.86$20 inWon+$34.862913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed No68c32.46$22 inLost-$221181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff7…4d5ebacked Yes68c30.88$21 inWon+$9.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fb…50cfbacked Yes57c26.52$15 inWon+$11.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8862…bbf5backed Yes72c25$18 inWon+$71275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea82…dd43backed Yes74c17.57$13 inWon+$4.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.