Golf · resolved market

Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8c91b45ce683736e83d43c6b037cf0bb4797b3f19471b678410bb9f518817c

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,725 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xde04…fa37backed No	59c	2,468$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.41	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	48c	2,344$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.16	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-23.7wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa42c…5a6ebacked Yes	31c	1,311$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.18	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No	67c	295.91$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.64	268	39.9%107 W · 161 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	77c	215.62$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.12	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	71c	190$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.9	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a1…3527backed Yes	37c	139.31$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No	15c	136.38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.92	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+61%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No	15c	120$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes	34c	120$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	172	26.7%46 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	18c	110$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	68c	93.63$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.96	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No	16c	77$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.68	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+12.7wins	+0.55per pick	14cpaid	+387.1%equal weight	80+0.27 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	73c	74.62$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.44	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee5e…e619backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked No	74c	33.33$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	102	68.6%70 W · 32 L	+14.0wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event