TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

PSV vs. AZ: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$478,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,810 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c382,784$198,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198,464.251435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c150,000$72,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c114,044$54,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,302.883759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c30,000$14,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,449.987261.1%44 W · 28 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under49c19,763$9,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,991.132,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under50c18,400$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c12,809$6,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,532.7643546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf75…d56abacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c8,164$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0824266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9637641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7503745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c3,482$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7414654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,791$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.227,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under48c2,100$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Over51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over28c1,667$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7527542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over65c1,500$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.6586960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under51c1,242$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.1638747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over51c1,113$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.592171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under49c1,042$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c924$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4626446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under50c696.37$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.191764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Under50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25026853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c455$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c450$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22811855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Over52c402.64$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over50c400.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026653.4%142 W · 124 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over43c260.27$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9211326.5%30 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under50c225$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.59058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over50c209.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.861850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7512655.6%70 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0613251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under50c139.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.89557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c130.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.642,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.53850%19 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c119.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5551356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over38c116.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.828650%43 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c115$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.510756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under50c114.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.021369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5511656%65 W · 51 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020241.6%84 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over49c95.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.829638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over44c73.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4713653.7%73 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.172356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over32c70.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4828349.1%139 W · 144 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under52c68.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under78c68.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7713653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over17c60.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308557.6%49 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308560%51 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.257957%45 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257957%45 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.256959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over35c49.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54560%27 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under50c43.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+75.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over55c42.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.391060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3313258.3%77 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.423061.3%141 W · 89 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Over51c37.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f7…1beebacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under38c33.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.052740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa50…27d6backed Under38c33.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+61.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over51c32.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d65…2d2bbacked Over51c32.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over64c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.842450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155463%34 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Under50c28.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under49c28.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.646023.3%14 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79b1…0666backed Under51c25.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53971.8%28 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54669.6%32 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.