Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x863a1bd7fa14bd10fe6d0976113be05969a8e43dc1a36b3ff7dde2c61c856efd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AZof PSV, AZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,934 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked AZ | 50c | 6,800$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed PSV | 47c | 6,109$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.87 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed AZ | 53c | 3,740$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.3 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed PSV | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed AZ | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked PSV | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked AZ | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked AZ | 53c | 1,396$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PSV | 47c | 1,360$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AZ | 53c | 922.48$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.08 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…937cbacked PSV | 62c | 557.31$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked PSV | 47c | 307.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed PSV | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed PSV | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed PSV | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked AZ | 45c | 194$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8555…ef94backed PSV | 49c | 192$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked AZ | 42c | 180.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2a33backed AZ | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…61eebacked AZ | 49c | 173.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3641…ab8ebacked AZ | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked PSV | 50c | 162.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed AZ | 23c | 157.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…437dbacked AZ | 49c | 152$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed PSV | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked PSV | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0c…21d8backed PSV | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed PSV | 21c | 136.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed PSV | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed PSV | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed PSV | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…9aecbacked PSV | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…bb5bbacked AZ | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed PSV | 50c | 63.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…1c21backed PSV | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3b…f5d4backed PSV | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed PSV | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed PSV | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed PSV | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked PSV | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed PSV | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked PSV | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed PSV | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed PSV | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked PSV | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…26aabacked AZ | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c1…7d39backed PSV | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…ae5dbacked PSV | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed AZ | 48c | 53.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f8…f9ebbacked PSV | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9490…3528backed PSV | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…12bcbacked PSV | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed PSV | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked PSV | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked PSV | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed PSV | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed AZ | 53c | 48.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfa…08c3backed PSV | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…78f0backed AZ | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…0f62backed AZ | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…9c5cbacked PSV | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed AZ | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed PSV | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…3526backed AZ | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…41b7backed AZ | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…78abbacked PSV | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…e5dbbacked PSV | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…153dbacked PSV | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed PSV | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…6f5fbacked AZ | 50c | 28.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed PSV | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed PSV | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf0…037ebacked PSV | 51c | 23.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…f4abbacked AZ | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…1ecfbacked AZ | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…efeabacked PSV | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8592…9cb5backed PSV | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)this page
- PSV vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- PSV vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.