Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1559f217238c317ed15a1fc59952e205fe7c882fac1b24d4e4722120fca4968
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 4,630$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.4 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 4,232$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.96 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 52c | 2,406$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 1,178$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.68 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 40c | 996.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 957.79$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.04 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 951.53$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.63 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 12c | 650$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 310$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 65c | 306.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 60c | 203.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 193.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 33c | 163.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 49c | 162.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 143.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 71c | 141.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 28c | 129.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 27c | 101.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 32c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 83.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 15c | 69.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9e5fbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…4f02backed Over | 50c | 49.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 70c | 31.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 71c | 16.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5this page
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.