Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e47cf175f5788484eb07c88acd96ba7c97ad9d6cfc616ff61afff85e3c7e5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 58c | 2,118$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.52 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 1,624$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.43 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 798.78$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 43c | 713$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.42 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 697$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.71 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Over | 46c | 600$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 254.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 56c | 129.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…fc78backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 91.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 79.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…bc20backed Over | 24c | 42.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 37.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Over | 49c | 35.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 54c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5this page
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.