TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73cd…e093

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$109.34
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$63.45
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.92
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.88
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$30.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$9.45
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$14.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+132.6%+$17.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$33.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.